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The average time interval between occurrences of a hydrological event of a given or greater magnitude, usually expressed in years.
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Average period of time between occurrences of a given probability event.
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The average length of time separating flood events of a similar magnitude: a 100-year flood will occur on average once in every 100 years.
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This describes how often, on average, a flood of a certain magnitude is expected once. A flood with a 100-year return period would therefore be expected once in 100 years. However, this is just an average – it is possible to have 100-year floods in, for example, 5 consecutive years and not again for 500 years. Stretch A section of river along which there are no changes in water quality which are of practical significance and there is no obvious potential for such a change in the future.
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ee recurrence interval.
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The probable time period between repetition of extreme weather events, such as heavy rainfall or flooding, in a stationary climate (that is, a climate without global warming or other trends). In the case of rainfall, a return period is always related to a specific duration (e.g. 50-year return period of 24-hour extreme rainfall).
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The average time interval between occurences of wave heights equal to or greater than the height associated with the return period. It is a measure of the infrequentness of higher wave heights.
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The average time between events such as the flooding of a particular level. This information may also be expressed as the level which has a particular return period of flodding, for example, 100 years. The inverse of the return period is the statistical probability of an event occurring in any individual year.
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return periods relate to the long term average time interval between events of a particular magnitude; thus a 1 in 100 year return period flood has a one per cent chance of occurring in any one year
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can be defined generally as the average interval, in the long run, between events of a given size
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The expected (mean) time (usually in years) between the exceedence of a particular extreme threshold. Return period is traditionally used to express the frequency of occurrence of an Event, although it is often misunderstood as being a Probability of occurrence.
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Also called recurrence interval. The average time until the next occurrence of a defined event. When the time to the next occurrence has a geometric distribution, the return period is equal to the inverse of probability of the event occurring in the next time period, that is, T = 1/P, where T is the return period, in number of time intervals, and P is the probability of the next event's occurrence in a given time interval.
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The projected period of recurrence of a particular event, such as a tropical cyclone of a particular intensity, severe flooding, or a defined wind gust; derived using either empirical or Monte Carlo methods and assumed distributions of extreme events. Great care needs to be taken in interpretation this statistical result; in particular a return period of, say, 50 years does not mean that the next event will occur in 50 years, it could occur next year, albeit with a low probability.
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recurrence interval; a statistical parameter used in frequency analysis as a measure of the average time interval between the occurrence of a given quantity and that of an equal or greater quantity
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Expected average interval between the occurrences of events at a particular threshold.
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See recurrence interval.
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The period within which it is mathematically probable that a natural phenomenon such as an earthquake of given intensity will recur.
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A return period also known as a recurrence interval is an estimate of the likelihood of a flood or river discharge flow of a certain size. It is a statistical measurement denoting the average recurrence interval over an extended period of time.
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