A method of improving group decision making that involves systematically gathering the judgments of experts and developing forcasts. When using the Delphi Technique, groups do not meet face to face. Also see Delphi Consultation Process..
A decision-making process that uses the opinions of experts, gathered on a dispersed or face-to-face basis, and the guidance and direction of a facilitator to reach either group consensus or a clear definition of alternatives.
A technique which can be used to systematise expert opinions. Experts are consulted separately in a number of different rounds. In each successive round, each individual is told the views of the other experts in the previous round. This technique can be used to arrive at a consensus, or at least to reduce disagreements. See also Abacus of Régnier, expert opinion.
A frequently used method in futures research to gain consensus opinion among experts about likely future events, through a series of questionnaires.
Technique for generating information about the future involving a number of iterative stages through which managers a consensual view of what might happen to a business.
A form of participative expert judgment, it is an anonymous, interactive forecasting technique used to derive consensus about future events on a project. The purpose of the Delphi technique is to elicit information and judgments from participants to facilitate problem-solving, planning and decision-making. (PMI) Dependent Activity See Activity, Dependent.
a process of obtaining several expert's opinions through polling and based on three conditions: anonymity, statistical display, and feedback of reasoning, to obtain a final prediction. ()
an iterative group judgment technique in which a central source forwards surveys or questionnaires to isolated, anonymous (to each other) participants whose responses are collated/summarized and recirculated to the participants in multiple rounds for further modification/critique, producing a final group response (sometimes statistical).
A systematic process for eliciting the subjective opinion of a group of experts concerning the best estimate for a numerical parameter. Although there have been numerous ad hoc modifications to the process, originally it specified that the experts each initially communicate their numerical estimate privately to a facilitator. The facilitator then feeds back the group's initial estimates as anonymous numbers to the experts, who may then revise their initial estimates as they see fit. The revised estimates are then averaged to arrive at a single value to represent the group's opinion.
This technique is essentially a survey method whereby individual members of a panel are asked for written information, which is then fed back to the panel as a whole for further comment with the intention of reaching a consensus.
A method for obtaining group consensus involving the use of a series of mailed questionnaires and controlled feedback to respondents which continues until consensus is reached.
A group forecasting technique, generally used for future events such as technological developments, that uses estimates from experts and feedback summaries of these estimates for additional estimates by these experts until a reasonable consensus occurs. It has been used in various software cost-estimating activities, including estimation of factors influencing software costs.
a technique used to solve common problems where there may be hidden agendas orpersonal conflicts. Learners individually and anonymously identify solutions to the problem. These solutionsare collated and recirculated until a solution is agreed.
Technique that leverages expert judgment to forecast when there is not enough data available.
A collaborative technique to build consensus through independent analysis and a number of iterative stages for further modification.
